A deal with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz may require a compromise from Trump
- President Trump may need to compromise to reach a deal with Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
- The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway through which 20% of the world's oil flows.
- Iran insists on some control over the strait, while the Trump administration opposes any arrangement that solidifies Iran's grip.
- Economic pressures and the impact on gasoline prices may influence Trump's willingness to negotiate.
- Experts note that the U.S. military is facing shortages of key weapons following the conflict with Iran.
To reach a deal with Iran that reopens the economically vital Strait of Hormuz, President Donald Trump may need to do something out of character — compromise. The sticking point has been over control of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world’s oil normally flows. While both sides say a deal is close, the Trump administration has ruled out any arrangement that would cement Iran’s grip over the Persian Gulf waterway.
Iran has insisted on some measure of control, stating that the strait will not revert to being an open international waterway as it was before the war. Despite thousands of U.S. strikes, Iran can still fire drones and missiles at vessels, giving it a chokehold over commercial shipping. Experts suggest that the increasing economic pressure may prompt Trump to compromise on the strait, even if it has profound implications for global trade.
Trump has so far conceded little about the war, maintaining that the U.S. military still has 'massive amounts' of weapons. However, reports indicate that the U.S. military is running short on advanced missile interceptors that have defended American troops from Iranian attacks. A senior administration official noted that there had been a 'robust and healthy' discussion about Iran in a recent Cabinet meeting.
与伊朗达成关于霍尔木兹海峡的协议可能需要特朗普妥协
为了与伊朗达成重新开放经济至关重要的霍尔木兹海峡的协议，特朗普总统可能需要做出不寻常的妥协。争论的焦点在于霍尔木兹海峡的控制权，20%的全球石油通常通过该海峡流动。尽管双方都表示协议接近，但特朗普政府已排除任何巩固伊朗在波斯湾水道控制权的安排。
伊朗坚持对海峡拥有一定的控制权，表示该海峡不会恢复到战争前的开放国际水道。尽管美国进行了数千次打击，伊朗仍能向船只发射无人机和导弹，从而对商业航运施加控制。专家们认为，日益增加的经济压力可能促使特朗普在海峡问题上妥协，尽管这对全球贸易有深远影响。
然而，特朗普迄今为止对战争几乎没有让步，坚称美国军方仍拥有“大量”武器。然而，有报告指出，美国军方在能够保护美军免受伊朗攻击的先进导弹拦截器方面面临短缺。一位高级政府官员指出，在最近的内阁会议上，关于伊朗的讨论是“充实和健康的”。