Iran's leaders think they have Trump cornered, but their strategy carries great risks
- Iran's leaders believe they can force the U.S. to accept their control over the Strait of Hormuz through military pressure.
- They are aware of the declining U.S. military stockpiles and the unpopularity of the ongoing war among Americans.
- The Iranian strategy relies on the assumption that time is on their side as they aim to keep the strait largely closed.
Iran's leaders feel confident that they can achieve victory without the long wait that a historical figure faced in the Strait of Hormuz. They are betting that military pressure will compel the U.S. to concede to their control over this vital waterway for global energy.
They are cognizant of the dwindling stockpiles of key U.S. weaponry, including advanced missile interceptors, and the unpopularity of the war among the American public.
The Iranian strategy hinges on the belief that as long as the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, the prices of gas and other goods will remain elevated, putting further pressure on the U.S. government.
伊朗领导人认为他们已将特朗普逼入绝境,但这一策略风险巨大
伊朗领导人对他们能在霍尔木兹海峡取得胜利充满信心,认为无需像历史人物那样经历漫长等待。他们押注于军事压力将迫使美国承认他们对这一全球能源重要水道的控制。
他们意识到美国关键武器库存的减少,包括先进的导弹拦截器,以及美国公众对战争的不满。
伊朗的战略依赖于一个信念,即只要霍尔木兹海峡大部分保持关闭,汽油和其他商品的价格将保持高位,从而进一步给美国政府施加压力。