Options market has priced in large swings in Nvidia's stock after earnings, potentially moving about 6% in either direction by the end of this week
- Nvidia will release its fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings soon.
- The options market is pricing in a potential 6% movement in Nvidia's stock by the end of the week.
- A 6% gain could push the stock to around $225, while a 6% decline could drop it below $202.
- Nvidia shares are up 14% this year but have fallen over 10% from their May high.
- Morgan Stanley analysts are not optimistic that Nvidia's stock will reverse its trend of falling after earnings reports.
PANews reported on August 27, citing CNBC, that Nvidia will release its fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings in a few hours. The options market is already pricing in a large post-earnings swing. Based on current options prices, traders expect Nvidia shares could move about 6% in either direction by the end of this week.
Based on Tuesday’s closing price, a 6% gain could push the stock to around $225, near the record above $236 set in May; a 6% decline could send it back below $202. Wall Street broadly expects the company to continue delivering strong growth, but investors are no longer focused solely on how much revenue can grow.
Instead, they are watching whether AI capital spending is sustainable and whether Nvidia can reduce its dependence on a small number of hyperscale customers. So far this year, Nvidia shares are still up 14%, but they have pulled back more than 10% from their May high. More notably, Nvidia’s stock has fallen the day after each of its past four quarterly earnings reports. Morgan Stanley analysts recently said they are not optimistic that this trend will reverse.
期权市场已为英伟达财报后的股价大幅波动定价，预计本周末前可能上下波动约6%
PANews于8月27日报道，引用CNBC的消息称，英伟达将很快发布其2027财年第二季度财报。期权市场已经为财报后的股价大幅波动定价。根据当前的期权价格，交易员预计英伟达的股价在本周末前可能上下波动约6%。
根据周二的收盘价，6%的涨幅可能将股价推至约225美元，接近5月份创下的236美元的纪录；而6%的跌幅可能使其跌至202美元以下。华尔街普遍预计该公司将继续实现强劲增长，但投资者不再仅关注收入的增长幅度。
相反，他们关注的是人工智能资本支出的可持续性，以及英伟达是否能降低对少数超大规模客户的依赖。今年迄今，英伟达的股价仍上涨了14%，但自5月高点以来已回落超过10%。更值得注意的是，英伟达的股价在过去四次季度财报发布后的第二天均出现下跌。摩根士丹利分析师最近表示，他们对这一趋势逆转并不乐观。