Probability of Fed rate hike in September stands at 71.3%

9月美联储加息概率升至71.3%

StarLive Editorial2026-09-111 min readSource: panewslab.com✓ editorially reviewed

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✓ Key facts

According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 28.8%.
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike in September is 71.3%.
The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 17.6%.
The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike in October is 54.8%.
The probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike in October is 27.6%.

According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 28.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 71.3%.

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 17.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 54.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 27.6%.

The probabilities are reported by PANews on September 11.

中文版

9月美联储加息概率升至71.3%

根据CME FedWatch，9月美联储保持利率不变的概率为28.8%，累计25基点加息的概率为71.3%。

10月美联储保持利率不变的概率为17.6%，累计25基点加息的概率为54.8%，累计50基点加息的概率为27.6%。

这些概率由PANews于9月11日报道。

Original reporting: panewslab.com. StarLive rewrote this story in its own words, preserving the facts; the full third-party article is not reproduced. AI-generated · market intelligence, not financial advice.

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