An agreement with Iran on the Strait of Hormuz could require a concession from Trump
- To reach an agreement with Iran that reopens the vital Strait of Hormuz, President Trump may need to concede, which is against his usual style.
- The U.S. government has ruled out any arrangement that consolidates Iran's control over the Strait, including charging fees.
- Iran insists on maintaining some degree of control over the Strait and has stated it will not return to being an open international passage as it was before the war.
- Despite U.S. attacks, Iran retains the capability to launch drones and missiles against vessels, exerting significant control over maritime trade.
To reach an agreement with Iran that reopens the vital Strait of Hormuz, President Trump may need to make a concession, which would be unusual for him. Any concession could be difficult for the Republican president, who has denied any truth to the decline in his popularity ratings and the slowing economy.
The friction point has been control of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's traded oil passed before the war. While both sides claim that an agreement is close, the Trump administration has dismissed any arrangement that would consolidate Iran's control over this vital maritime route.
Iran insists on maintaining some degree of control and has indicated that the Strait will not return to being an open international passage as it was before the war. Despite thousands of U.S. attacks, Iran still has the capacity to launch drones and missiles against vessels, giving it a stranglehold over commercial maritime transport.
与伊朗关于霍尔木兹海峡的协议可能需要特朗普作出让步
为了达成与伊朗的协议，重新开放对经济至关重要的霍尔木兹海峡，特朗普可能需要作出让步，这对他来说是不寻常的。任何让步对这位共和党总统来说都可能是困难的，他否认自己的受欢迎程度和经济放缓存在任何真实的下降。
争执的焦点是霍尔木兹海峡的控制权，在战争前，20%的全球贸易石油通过该海峡。尽管双方声称协议接近，但特朗普政府已排除任何巩固伊朗对这一重要海上通道控制的安排。
伊朗坚持要保持一定程度的控制，并表示该海峡不会像战争前那样重新成为开放的国际通道。尽管遭到数千次美国的攻击，伊朗仍然有能力对船只发射无人机和导弹，从而对商业海上运输施加了重大控制。