Democratic primary turnout has soared in some states. Can it carry over to November?
- Democratic primary turnout has reached unusually high levels in several states this year, including Michigan and Wisconsin.
- Michigan recorded about 1.5 million Democratic primary voters, which the article says was a midterm record for the state.
- Wisconsin Democrats cast nearly 800,000 ballots in Tuesday’s primary, the highest midterm total there in more than 20 years.
- The turnout surge also appeared earlier in Texas and Georgia, both of which are expected to have competitive Senate races in the fall.
- Democrats see the primary numbers as an encouraging sign, while Republicans argue that primary turnout does not reliably predict general-election results.
Democratic primary turnout has risen sharply in a number of states this year, giving party leaders reason to think the surge could help them in November, when control of Congress will be decided. The article points to unusually strong Democratic participation in Michigan and Wisconsin, with similarly elevated turnout reported earlier in Texas and Georgia.
In Michigan, Democrats cast about 1.5 million primary ballots, which the article describes as a midterm record for the state. In Wisconsin, Democratic voters cast nearly 800,000 ballots, the highest midterm total there in more than 20 years. The story says competitive Democratic primaries have helped drive that participation.
The turnout pattern is occurring in a political environment that Democrats view as favorable to them, including weak approval ratings for President Donald Trump, persistent inflation and an unpopular war with Iran. Still, the article notes that primary turnout is an imperfect predictor of general-election results.
Republicans say they are preparing to counter the Democratic surge with their own turnout effort in the fall, relying on fundraising, candidate recruitment and Trump campaigning. GOP officials quoted in the story argue that the contest will be decided when votes actually count in November.
民主党初选投票率在一些州大幅上升，这种势头能延续到11月吗？
今年多个州的民主党初选投票率明显上升，让党内人士认为这种势头可能延续到11月，并影响国会控制权的争夺。报道提到，密歇根州和威斯康星州的民主党参与度尤其高，得克萨斯州和佐治亚州此前也出现了类似上升。
在密歇根州，民主党人在初选中投出约150万张选票，报道称这是该州中期选举中的纪录。威斯康星州民主党选民投下近80万张选票，为该州20多年来中期选举的最高总数。报道说，竞争激烈的民主党初选推动了这种参与热度。
报道同时指出，民主党人认为当前政治环境对他们有利，包括特朗普总统支持率偏弱、持续通胀以及美国与伊朗的战争不受欢迎。不过，报道也强调，初选投票率并不能稳定预测大选结果。
共和党方面则表示，他们会在秋季通过筹款、候选人动员和让特朗普重新投入竞选来争取选民。报道引用共和党官员的话说，真正决定胜负的是11月的大选投票。